Here are seven things to watch in Tuesday’s elections in Georgia, Alabama, Texas, Arkansas and Minnesota:
Georgia Tests the Limits of Trump’s Complaints for 2020
Trump has turned Georgia into the centerpiece of his efforts to punish Republicans who reject his lies about widespread election fraud that cost him the 2020 presidential race. Perdue — who lost his seat in the same election cycle in which Trump became the first Republican presidential candidate since Bob Dole in 1996 — paid a loss Georgia – to run in the primaries.
But polls show that most Georgia Republicans are ignoring Trump’s mission against Kemp, and the first state’s governor is on the cusp of winning easily.
And perhaps most importantly, Kemp – unlike Purdue – is a proven winner. He defeated Democrat Stacy Abrams in one of the toughest gubernatorial races of 2018. He will face Abrams again in Tuesday’s primary.
“I think Stacey Abrams is a wonderful uniter,” Kemp told reporters over the weekend. “I think all of my Georgia fans will unite after Tuesday.”
Can the Republican who rejected Trump win the primary?
When Representative Moe Brooks looked to describe his campaign two days before the Senate Republican primary against Army veteran Mike Durant and former Alabama Business Council Chairman Katie Brett, it became a bible.
Alabama is also hosting a gubernatorial primary as incumbent Republican Governor Kay Ivey grapples with challenges from the right that focus on her decision to use her office to push Alabama residents to get vaccinated amid the coronavirus pandemic. Like the Senate race, it’s possible that Ivy will have to have a run-off.
Georgia caused a major clash in the Senate
There’s less drama in Georgia’s Republican primary: Trump-backed ex-football star Herschel Walker is leading strongly in the polls and is certain to be the nominee to face Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock in November.
The race constitutes a struggle over racial issues: Warnock is the senior chaplain at Ebenezer Baptist Church in Atlanta, the church where Martin Luther King Jr. preached, and has a long record as a civil rights advocate. Meanwhile, Walker has long expressed ambivalence on racial issues.
The first test of voting law in Georgia
The law imposes new identification requirements on mail-in ballots and prohibits election officials from sending mail-in ballot applications to those who have not specifically requested them; It also restricts the use of drop-down boxes for ballot papers. In addition, it makes it illegal to provide food and water to people waiting in line to vote — a provision that civil rights groups have said is particularly unfair to those in urban areas facing long queues.
Republicans enacted the law amid Trump’s lies about widespread fraud that cost him the 2020 election. Trump and Republicans in Georgia and other states that have implemented similar new laws have focused particularly on mail-in voting.
Despite the new law, early voting broke previous records in Georgia, with more than 710,000 people casting their ballots as of Friday, according to the Secretary of State’s office.
However, assessing the impact of the new law – including any potential problems arising on Election Day – will not be fully possible until after it is in place for a general election.
Sanders looks ready to return to the Arkansas Governor’s mansion
Former White House press secretary Sarah Sanders looks well placed to win the Arkansas gubernatorial primary on Tuesday, bringing her one step closer to returning to the governor’s mansion she grew up in when her father, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, was leading the state.
If Sanders wins in November — while Arkansas has a history of electing Democratic governors, including more recently Mike Bibi, Jim Jay Tucker and Bill Clinton, has shifted significantly to the right in recent years — she would be the first woman to lead the state.
It’s getting tense in Texas
Texans of both parties will return to the polls in a series of run-offs to determine the primary contests from March 1.
For Democrats, the signature race along the US-Mexico border is confined to the 28th congressional district, where incumbent Representative Henry Cuellar, the last Washington Democrat to oppose abortion rights, hopes to fend off progressive contender Jessica Cisneros for the second time in a row. turn.
Despite his myriad legal woes, Paxton led a field of four with nearly 43% of the vote in the March primary. And Bush took second place with less than 25%. Paxton is a good bet to unite enough voters — about 35% of whom are split between Representative Louis Johart and former Texas Supreme Court Justice Eva Guzman — and win re-nomination.
Republican-leaning House of Representatives seats get special elections
Voters along Minnesota’s southern border will head to the polls Tuesday in the first congressional district special primary to fill the vacant seat following the death of Representative Jim Hagedorn in February. Hagedorn’s widow, Jennifer Carnahan, is among the candidates in the primaries.
The region, which covers the entire southern border of the state, is tilted toward Republicans, but was represented by Democrat Tim Walz, currently the governor of Minnesota, from 2007 to 2019.
The winners of the primaries will advance to the special general election on August 9. Republicans are confident they can retain the red seat in August, and eventually in November.