Trump-backed JD Vance will win CNN projects in the Ohio Republican Senate

Even with most candidates leading in the race for former President Donald Trump, the primaries are the first Senate contest of the year to test the strength of his endorsement.

In another night’s marquee race, Ohio State Mike DeWine will win the Republican primary on Tuesday, CNN ProjectsHe beats his opponents from his right wing as he seeks a second term.

While Trump did not endorse in the Ohio gubernatorial primary, he did play a large part in the contest to replace retired Republican Senator Rob Portman.

With Democrats and Republicans vying for control of Congress this fall, which will determine whether President Joe Biden can advance any aspect of his agenda after 2022, nearly half The most competitive Senate competitions in the United States He will likely be appointed by the end of this month.
In Ohio, the redder state that Trump has twice won, the former president upended the race in mid-April when he endorsed it Vancethe venture capitalist and author of “Hillbilly Elegy” who was an unabashed critic of Trump in 2016 but now says his initial judgment on him was wrong.

“It’s OK to change your mind. In fact, you should change your mind when the facts change and I think that’s the truth in terms of my view of President Trump,” Vance said Monday.

Trump’s endorsement of Vance created a momentum for the author, helping him nearly double his support between a Fox poll in March and another in April.

5 things to see in the Ohio and Indiana primary

But most of the other top GOP candidates vying for the Ohio Senate seat — including former state treasurer Josh Mandel, businessman Mike Gibbons and former state party chairman Gene Timken, all of whom have sought Trump’s endorsement — shocked Vance with his earlier comments. about the former president. , claiming that they raised questions about his authenticity as a governor.

Action for Growth Club, which supported Mandel, bombed this thread In the final days of the race — in an effort to capitalize on the fact that nearly a quarter of core GOP voters remain undecided, according to an April Fox poll, with half of those expressing a preference for the candidate saying they could change their minds.
State Senator Matt Dolanthe only Republican to urge the GOP to go ahead with the 2020 election and reject Trump’s false claims about the results, saw his support increase in this poll compared to the previous month, but he was not at the top of the group.
Trump indicated the strength of his approvals during a Nebraska march Last weekend, he mentioned his chosen candidate for the Pennsylvania Senate, famous surgeon Mehmet Oz, and Vance, though he distorted Vance’s name—apparently confusing the author with Mandel, Vance’s chief rival, before correcting himself. (Oz is in a tight race with former hedge fund CEO David McCormick in Pennsylvania, which holds its primary on May 17.)

Speaking about Vance’s previous criticism during his election-eve conference call, Trump said that Vance “said some negative things about me, but made up for it with little things.”

“I think I can say he’s with us 1,000%,” the former president added.

Mandel, in turn, got help in the final days of the campaign trail from Texas Senator Ted Cruz, who urged Ohio Republicans to pay less attention to endorsements and more consistency of the candidate’s record as a conservative.

On the democratic side, Representative Tim Ryan He will win the Senate primaries, CNN projects. He had bolstered his party’s support in a contest against Morgan Harper, an attorney and former senior advisor at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Ryan will face an uphill battle in this state that Trump won by 8 points in 2020.

Ohio gubernatorial primaries

CNN predicted Tuesday that Ohio Governor Mike DeWine, seen here delivering his State of the State address in 2022, will win the Republican nomination.
As the heated political debate over mask disguises, vaccine mandates, and pandemic-era public health protocols ebbed, DeWine looked poised. overcome challenges From former United States Representative Jim Rinacci and farmer Joe Bleiston.

The governor, who has built deep connections in Republican circles over his many years of public service in Ohio, won national acclaim in the pandemic’s early days for his meticulous handling of rising Covid-19 cases. But as the pandemic has become increasingly polarized, he has become a frequent target of the right and Trump, which apparently made him vulnerable as he set out to win a second term as conservative.

Unresolute voters can achieve an unexpected first result in Ohio
Was DeWine Keep a wide lead In recent polls, in part because Rinacci and Bliston have been splitting the anti-presidential vote on the Republican side as they promised to protect Ohioans from what they say is government overreach.
On the Democratic side, the former mayor of Dayton Nan Willie She will defeat former Cincinnati Mayor John Cranley, CNN Enterprises. You’ll face an uphill climb against DeWine in November.

In Ohio’s 11th congressional district, there is a rematch between Democratic Representative Shontelle Brown and Nina Turner. Brown had Biden’s support as well as some biased outside groups, but Turner, the former Ohio senator who was a key player in Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders’ presidential campaign, hoped to motivate the progressives to push her to victory in the newly drawn territory, which includes more Cleveland.

In Indiana, Republican Senator Todd Young and Democrat Thomas McDermott, the mayor of Hammond, are running unchallenged in Tuesday’s Senate primary.

This story has been updated with additional developments.

Paul LeBlanc, Gabe Orr and Ethan Cohen contributed to this report.